EL PASO -- Even though the vast majority of El Pasoans say they have not been personally affected by the crime that has been strangling Juárez for more than a year, they do feel threatened by it, a new opinion poll found.
An El Paso Times poll suggests that fear in El Paso has increased as a drug cartel war in Juárez has worn on since January 2008 and includes grisly mutilations, and daily shootings and massacres in bars, drug rehab centers and restaurants that have left more than 3,300 dead.
The poll, conducted Sept. 28 by The Reuel Group, found that 80 percent of respondents had not been personally affected by the crime in Juárez, but 60 percent said they still felt threatened.
"Generally speaking, there is a broadening concern
about what is happening in Juárez," pollster Russell Autry of the Reuel Group said.
El Paso Mayor John Cook said the poll matches with what he hears from constituents.
"It certainly justified what I felt all along," Cook said. "We haven't been impacted. But just knowing your sister city -- so close to you, that you have relatives in and business interests in -- seeing so much violence there makes you worried."
Law enforcement officials maintain that there has not been an increase in violence in El Paso despite two high-profile cartel cases this year. On May 15, federal informant Jose Daniel Gonzalez-Galeana was fatally shot outside his home in an upscale East Side neighborhood. Police arrested five men, including a Fort Bliss soldier, on capital-murder charges.
On Sept. 3, Sergio Saucedo was taken by gunmen from his middle-class home in Horizon City in a daytime abduction seen by several witnesses, including children on a school bus. Saucedo was later found dead in Juárez with his hands cut off. There have been no arrests.
Horizon City Mayor Walter Miller said that his quiet bedroom town east of El Paso is safe, but that the kidnapping raised awareness that drug traffickers are not limited by the border.
"It woke people up," Miller said. "It's what we knew all along. It's here among us."
Manuel Rico Jr., the town's interim police chief, said that since the episode, residents have been more willing to report suspicious vehicles and people.
"We, as a police department, are doing everything we can to make people feel safe," Rico said. "Are they going to be a little scared? Yes. The border is right across the street."
It is a border El Pasoans are increasingly unwilling to cross because of the murders, other crimes and other factors.
In 2007, an El Paso Times poll found that about 44 percent of El Pasoans visited Juárez at least once a year.
This latest poll found that more than 80 percent of El Pasoans had no plans to visit Juárez through the end of 2009.
University of Texas at El Paso sociology professor Theodore Curry said the threat El Pasoans feel is real.
"It's a feeling that the violence can seep across the border at any time," he said. "There is a conventional wisdom that it will stay in Juárez, but there is a possibility that they can come over here when they want, and they just haven't. But the cartels have shown they can cross over anytime they want."
Juárez city government spokesman Jaime Torres said daily life continues while authorities work to improve security.
"We respect the opinions of other groups, but people continue to keep coming to Juárez," Torres said.
"The maquiladoras keep working. The tourism we see is business tourism. Also here on the border, there are a lot of family ties, business ties and cultural ties that go across the border."
Even if the violence is contained to Mexico, it still affects how El Paso is viewed, especially through the national media's description of the situation as "border violence."
El Paso District Attorney Jaime Esparza said people from other parts of the country often have a perception El Paso is violent despite the city's low crime rate.
"I had an individual ask me if I have a (body) guard because of the violence in Juárez, which I do not," Esparza said.
There have been nine murders in the city of El Paso this year. There have been about 1,700 in Juárez, including more than two-dozen victims who were from the El Paso area.
"Some people are taking advantage of what is happening in Juárez to make it appear that the border is not safe," Esparza said.
Such accusations led to the announcement last month of Texas Gov. Rick Perry's plan to send "Ranger recon" teams of Texas Rangers to what the governor described as high-crime spots along the border.
The plan has support in El Paso: The Times' poll found that about 57 percent of El Pasoans said they would feel safer with Texas Rangers on the border.
"Texas loves their Texas Rangers, don't they?" asked Autry, the pollster, who explained the survey did not determine whether the reaction was reflective of Perry or of the legendary reputation of the state's most-storied law-enforcement agency.
Daniel Borunda may be reached at dborunda@elpasotimes.com; 546-6102.